High school teacher Kari Bluff, 28, of Monterey County, Calif., is looking forward to voting in the Feb. 5 “Super-duper Tuesday” presidential primary, but she thinks it’s odd that – as an independent – she can cast her ballot for a Democrat but not a Republican. “If I didn't like any of the candidates on the Democratic ticket, I wouldn't hesitate to choose a Republican candidate. However, I'm not allowed that option,” said Bluff between English classes at King City High School. “I'm glad the Dems at least allow me that privilege.”
Bluff, a lifelong independent, at least will have half a chance to weigh in on nominations in the most wide-open presidential contest in 56 years. But some 4.5 million independent voters in six states (Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Oklahoma and Utah) will be completely locked out of their states’ presidential primaries Feb. 5 because they have “closed” primaries, in which only a voter registered with the party can help choose its nominee. Most of those voters come from New York where nearly 2.4 million independent voters reside.
Variations in state and party rules mean independent voters aren’t treated equally in the nomination process. And independent voters this year are shaping up as key to determining whether it’s Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton heading the Democratic ticket, and on the GOP side, John McCain, Mitt Romney or Mike Huckabee.
Obama and McCain are seen as drawing the most benefit from independent voters. In the Jan. 8 New Hampshire primary and South Carolina’s balloting on Jan. 19 and 26, “undeclared” voters were credited with helping McCain and Obama victories on their respective party ballots. “Open” primaries in South Carolina meant independent voters were able to cast ballots in either party’s primary.
FEB. 5 VOTING
| | Source: National Association of Secretaries of State | |
On Feb. 5, five states have open primaries and four states have “semi-open” primaries, which generally allow independent voters to cast ballots for either party although in some states, they must register with the party on Election Day. Nine states have party caucuses or conventions. In all, primaries and caucuses in 24 states on Feb. 5 could make or break some presidential hopes in what is the earliest – and maybe the most confusing – nominating process in history.
Overall, during this presidential primary season, 16 states have closed primaries that exclude independents and 13 states have open primaries, according to the National Association of Secretaries of State (NASS). The remaining states, including California, run somewhere in the middle, with varying degrees of restrictions commonly known as “semi-open” primary systems.
[Click here for the NASS 2008 presidential primary/caucus information sheet, including voter registration deadlines and delegation allocation.]
In delegate-rich California, it was state political parties – not state lawmakers – that set the rules for how “decline-to-state,” or independent, voters can participate.
“This is the first time such a system is being used in California,” said Conny McCormack, former registrar of voters and the county clerk for Los Angeles County. She said she feared some voters might be confused by the arrangement. Nearly 3 million voters, or 19 percent of California’s electorate, are registered as independents, she said. At stake are 441 delegates for the Democrats and 173 for the GOP.
California decided in 2000 that “unaffiliated” or “decline-to-state” voters could participate in primary elections if the parties allowed it. While the California Democratic Party opted to let “declare-to-state” voters participate in its primary, state GOP leaders in a controversial decision decided to bar independents from their presidential primary.
Hector Barajas, a spokesman for the California Republican Party, said the decision was a close one. The state GOP leadership board voted 11-9 to prohibit independents from casting ballots, a move Republican California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger criticized. Barajas said the party decided it was best for Republican voters to choose the Republican nominee and the party’s delegates for the Republican National Convention.
Democrats in California have no complaints. “In California, every independent who votes will be voting in the Democratic primary. That’s good for us,” said Bob Mulholland, campaign advisor for the California Democratic Party, expecting it will bring more independents to the Democrats’ side.
Independent California voters must be careful to ask for a Democratic ballot. Otherwise they automatically will be given a nonpartisan slate, allowing them to vote only for nonpartisan offices and ballot measures.
Florida's Feb. 29 primary was the first of the 2008 campaign to be completely closed to independent voters. Florida’s estimated 2.2 million independents were free to weigh in on the controversial property-tax measure that was approved, but were barred from voting for a presidential candidate. While his campaign was concerned that independents couldn’t vote in Florida, McCain won there anyway. The results of the Democratic primary are less telling because the party failed to bless the primary and candidates didn’t fully compete there.
Curtis Gans, director of American University’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate in Washington, D.C., said the system is unusual and may seem odd to some voters. But Gans said, “There’s nothing fishy. The parties have the right to set their own rules.”
The way Gans sees the situation in California is that, “Democrats essentially want to maximize participation in the primary, and the Republican Party, which is currently controlled by the more conservative elements, want to ensure that the delegates represent those elements.”
Stateline.org’s Kim Mendelsohn contributed to this article.
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By Gary Sterling on Feb 3, 2008 2:41:28 PM
The entire question of independents participating in partisan business is bizarre and reflects the basic American naivete when it comes to politics. If independents want a voice in party politics, start a party that represents your interests and vote in it. It's like saying that corporations in our capitalist economy have an impact on millions of people so why should only the shareholders have a voice in their decisions. Why it sounds downright socialistic.
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Independent Voters
By Calvin Simpson on Feb 1, 2008 7:43:24 PM
Independent voters should have no say whatever in the selection of a party's nominee.
Beyond ordinary life experiences I've logged a fair amount of time on phone banks and have to say that independents voters are more often than not, poorly informed, are confused by politics and consider voting a chore.
I live in Michigan where there is no party registration (the single exception was for the 1992 primary) and for that reason a few primaries (especially 1972 and 1988) have been warped by crossover voters. The proof is the overwhelming number of Democratic votes cast in many precincts populated almost exclusively by Republicans and independents.
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independent voters
By Robert Winn on Feb 1, 2008 9:17:05 AM
Independent voters are tired of having to pay for elections they are not allowed to vote in. Political parties are not the government of the United States. As President George Washington pointed out, political parties are self-created societies that seek special status for themselves in government the way royalty have special status in European governments.
Independent voters are prohibited from becoming candidates for office by un-Constitutional nomination petition requirements in any states where political party politicians see them as a threat. In Arizona, the legislature passed a bill signed into law in 2005 that removed the option to register independent from the voter registration form, decreasing the rate of independent voter registration from 80,000 per year to 13,000 per year.
Political parties all take the same direction in government over time. To see what that direction is, we need to consider the two political parties that became prominent in the politics of Germany after World War I, the Nazi Party and the Communist Party. The Nazi Party was successful in gaining control of the government, and the members of the Communist Party ended up being soldiers in the German army.
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